APi Group

APG · NYSE

$39.99−$0.08 (−0.20%)TodayMarket closed · Oct 20, 7:30 PM ET

Prev close $40.07

APG analyst rating

BuyConsensus of 6 analysts over the last 12 months. 100% rate it a buy.

Strong buy0
Buy6
Hold0
Underperform0
Sell0

12-month price target · 12 analysts

Average $53.65 (+34.2% upside)

Low: $47.47
Now: $39.99
High: $57.75

Upgrades and downgrades

The latest rating actions, newest first

APG analyst upgrades, downgrades and rating actions
Firm	Date	Action	Rating	Price target	Hit rate
Citigroup	Oct 12, 2026	Maintains	Buy	$54.00 → $55.00	63%
Wells Fargo	Aug 4, 2026	Initiates	Overweight	$53.00	46%
Citigroup	Jul 31, 2026	Maintains	Buy	$53.00 → $54.00	63%
Barclays	May 7, 2026	Maintains	Overweight	$52.00 → $54.00	65%
UBS	May 1, 2026	Maintains	Buy	$54.00 → $56.00	51%
Citigroup	May 1, 2026	Maintains	Buy	$52.00 → $53.00	63%
Truist Securities	May 1, 2026	Maintains	Buy	$53.00 → $55.00	63%
Citigroup	Feb 26, 2026	Maintains	Buy	$49.00 → $52.00	63%
UBS	Feb 26, 2026	Maintains	Buy	$49.00 → $54.00	51%
RBC Capital	Feb 26, 2026	Maintains	Outperform	$45.00 → $53.00	64%

The case for and against

Updated Dec 15, 2025

Bull case

APi Group Corp is positioned for substantial revenue growth in 2025, bolstered by a robust backlog and an improving demand environment, alongside reduced headwinds from project selection. The North American Safety segment is focused on enhancing its high-margin service offerings, with plans to increase the number of branches achieving over 20% adjusted EBITDA margins from 9 in 2021 to 40 by 2024. Furthermore, the company has already surpassed its target of 13%+ margin on a quarterly basis from the second quarter of 2024, with expectations for continued margin expansion due to strategic shifts towards the Services model.

Bear case

APi Group Corp faces a negative outlook primarily due to anticipated lower revenue growth and market share, compounded by challenging macroeconomic conditions. A scenario analysis indicates a potential 10% downside to EBITDA estimates for FY26E, prompting a reevaluation of the company's valuation metrics with a noted discount of approximately 2x from previous models. These factors culminate in projections that suggest a considerable downside potential, translating to a projected decline of $38 per share.

Information on this page is provided for informational purposes only and is not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security. Investing involves risk, including possible loss of principal. Market data is delayed at least 15 minutes and is provided without warranty. Analyst ratings, price targets and company data come from third-party sources. Past performance does not guarantee future results.