Nordstrom

JWN · NYSE

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The case for and against

Updated May 15, 2025

Bull case

Nordstrom has demonstrated positive financial performance, with full-price net sales increasing by 1.3% year-over-year to $2.08 billion, alongside a notable 10.5% expansion in off-price sales, highlighting the strength of both segments. The company's gross margin improved significantly, rising 290 basis points year-over-year to 37.3%, driven by merchandise margin expansion, improved shrinkage, and reduced loyalty promotions. Additionally, with a forecasted total revenue growth of 1.5% to 2.5% year-over-year and an increase in comparable sales expectations, Nordstrom is well-positioned for continued growth in a competitive retail landscape.

Bear case

Nordstrom reported a decline in full-price net sales of 3.7% year-over-year, contributing to an overall total revenue decrease of 2.2% year-over-year to $4.323 billion, slightly outperforming consensus estimates. The company is projected to experience a further decline in net sales of 1.1% year-over-year for the upcoming fiscal period, alongside pressures on gross margins, indicating challenges in profitability. Additionally, the adjusted earnings per share for the third quarter came in at $0.33, which was below market expectations, reflecting ongoing operational struggles.

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