Loar Holdings

LOAR · NYSE

$62.21+$0.21 (+0.34%)TodayMarket closed · Oct 20, 7:30 PM ET

Prev close $62.00

LOAR analyst rating

BuyConsensus of 4 analysts over the last 12 months. 75% rate it a buy.

Strong buy0
Buy3
Hold1
Underperform0
Sell0

12-month price target · 8 analysts

Average $90.14 (+44.9% upside)

Low: $82.04
Now: $62.21
High: $112.35

Upgrades and downgrades

The latest rating actions, newest first

LOAR analyst upgrades, downgrades and rating actions
Firm	Date	Action	Rating	Price target	Hit rate
Morgan Stanley	Oct 19, 2026	Maintains	Equal-Weight	$82.00 → $72.00	61%
RBC Capital	Aug 7, 2026	Maintains	Outperform	$80.00 → $85.00	59%
Morgan Stanley	Jul 15, 2026	Downgrade	Overweight → Equal-Weight	$91.00 → $82.00	61%
Citigroup	Jun 25, 2026	Maintains	Buy	$71.00 → $87.00	27%
RBC Capital	May 8, 2026	Maintains	Outperform	$90.00 → $80.00	59%
Citigroup	Apr 2, 2026	Maintains	Buy	$83.00 → $71.00	27%
Citigroup	Mar 2, 2026	Maintains	Buy	$81.00 → $83.00	27%
RBC Capital	Feb 18, 2026	Maintains	Outperform	$92.00 → $90.00	59%
Citigroup	Feb 5, 2026	Maintains	Buy	$87.00 → $81.00	27%
Citigroup	Jan 13, 2026	Maintains	Buy	$83.00 → $87.00	27%

The case for and against

Updated Oct 18, 2026

Bull case

Loar Holdings is attractive because it combines high-IP niche aerospace and defense content with strong execution, as 2Q26 revenue rose 39% year over year to $171.6M and adjusted EBITDA reached $69.4M, a 40.5% margin. Management’s ~$200M of new product wins, 12% organic growth in 2Q26, and raised 2026 guidance to $665M–$675M of sales and $265M–$270M of adjusted EBITDA support confidence in durable outgrowth and margin expansion. The company’s disciplined M&A strategy, with net leverage around 3.6x and repeated 40%+ margin quarters, reinforces the view that it can keep compounding earnings and free cash flow.

Bear case

Loar Holdings is exposed to cyclical end markets, with ~28% of 2023 net sales tied to commercial aerospace aftermarket demand that can soften if air travel growth, airline maintenance spending, or inventory levels weaken. Its downside case points to only ~$755M of 2028E revenue and ~39.5% adj. EBITDA margins, suggesting limited room for the market to reward slower growth and less margin expansion. The company also faces meaningful concentration and cost risks, as RTX and Honeywell accounted for ~22% of 2024 sales and tariffs on steel and aluminum could pressure margins while defense demand remains vulnerable to budget and contract timing.

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