Spectral AI

MDAI · NASDAQ

$1.51−$0.01 (−0.66%)TodayMarket closed ·
Prev close $1.52

MDAI analyst rating

BuyConsensus of 1 analyst over the last 12 months. 100% rate it a buy.
  • Strong buy0
  • Buy1
  • Hold0
  • Underperform0
  • Sell0

12-month price target · 4 analysts

Average $5.23 (+246.2% upside)

Low
$4.04
Now
$1.51
High
$6.56

Upgrades and downgrades

The latest rating actions, newest first

MDAI analyst upgrades, downgrades and rating actions
FirmDateActionRating
BTIGMay 27, 2026MaintainsBuy
BTIGMay 26, 2026MaintainsBuy
BTIGMar 25, 2026MaintainsBuy
BTIGFeb 10, 2026MaintainsBuy
BTIGNov 12, 2025MaintainsBuy

The case for and against

Updated Oct 14, 2026

Bull case

Spectral AI is attractive because its DeepView System addresses a large, under-penetrated burn and wound market with an estimated ~$3.7B TAM, targeting ~125 Burn Centers and ~5,000 Trauma and ED units in the US, while serving a need that includes ~490k burn patients annually in the US and ~87k in the UK. Its thesis is strengthened by the March 2026 BARDA funding of ~$31.7M, plus an additional $9.7M in committed development costs, which reduces financing risk and supports commercialization, while potential deployment of ~30 systems and subsidy for another ~140 systems could accelerate adoption. With FDA clearance now secured, a commercial launch expected in 2H26, and a functioning handheld prototype delivered ahead of expectation in early May 2026, the company has multiple catalysts that could support high-margin, recurring revenue growth as DeepView expands into broader indications.

Bear case

Spectral AI is exposed to significant fundamental risk because its outlook depends heavily on BARDA-related revenue, which could fall if clinical and regulatory development timelines extend or if approvals require additional analysis, filings, or new clinical data. The company also faces weak commercial traction risk from lower uptake of the DeepView system, alongside structural challenges such as limited awareness, a limited operating history, competition, and limited reimbursement. These issues may also force additional capital raises, while cybersecurity risk and delayed regulatory or clinical milestones could further pressure execution and reduce confidence in future revenue conversion.

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