Oscar Health

OSCR · NYSE

$33.66+$1.12 (+3.44%)TodayMarket closed ·
Prev close $32.54

OSCR analyst rating

HoldConsensus of 11 analysts over the last 12 months. 27% rate it a buy.
  • Strong buy0
  • Buy3
  • Hold7
  • Underperform1
  • Sell0

12-month price target · 15 analysts

Average $34.19 (+1.6% upside)

Low
$8.08
Now
$33.66
High
$51.45

Upgrades and downgrades

The latest rating actions, newest first

OSCR analyst upgrades, downgrades and rating actions
FirmDateActionRating
UBSOct 12, 2026MaintainsNeutral
Raymond JamesSep 18, 2026MaintainsOutperform
B of A SecuritiesSep 17, 2026MaintainsUnderperform
Stephens & Co.Sep 17, 2026MaintainsEqual-Weight
BarclaysSep 17, 2026MaintainsOverweight
BairdSep 17, 2026MaintainsNeutral
Wells FargoAug 13, 2026MaintainsEqual-Weight
UBSAug 7, 2026MaintainsNeutral
BarclaysAug 7, 2026MaintainsOverweight
BarclaysJun 10, 2026UpgradeEqual-Weight → Overweight

The case for and against

Updated Feb 2, 2026

Bull case

Oscar Health Inc. reported a significant year-over-year revenue growth of 29.0% in 2Q25, reaching $2.86 billion, driven by an increase in retention, market open enrollment growth, and new member additions. The company's medical loss ratio (MLR) improved to 91.1%, well below consensus expectations, reflecting effective management of costs despite a rise in marketwide morbidity. Furthermore, projections indicate substantial growth in enrollment weighted direct policy premiums per member per month (PMPM), anticipated to rise by 28.5% in CY26 and 16.9% in CY27, underscoring a strong growth trajectory for the company.

Bear case

Oscar Health Inc faces significant challenges that could negatively impact its stock performance. The company anticipates a decline in Silver plan enrollment, alongside a projected drop of 20% to 30% in individual ACA Marketplace enrollment due to the potential expiration of E-APTCs by the end of CY25, risking a loss of approximately 6.1 million members year-over-year. Additionally, despite achieving some cost efficiencies with a reduced SG&A ratio, the expected attrition of healthier members and increased adoption of lower-cost Bronze plans may hinder overall revenue growth and profitability.

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