Riskified

RSKD · NYSE

$8.77+$0.43 (+5.16%)TodayMarket closed · Oct 20, 7:58 PM ET

Prev close $8.34

RSKD analyst rating

HoldConsensus of 6 analysts over the last 12 months. 33% rate it a buy.

Strong buy0
Buy2
Hold3
Underperform0
Sell1

12-month price target · 7 analysts

Average $7.09 (−19.2% downside)

Low: $5.55
Now: $8.77
High: $9.45

Upgrades and downgrades

The latest rating actions, newest first

RSKD analyst upgrades, downgrades and rating actions
Firm	Date	Action	Rating	Price target	Hit rate
Goldman Sachs	Oct 13, 2026	Maintains	Sell	$5.50 → $7.50	52%
Truist Securities	Sep 28, 2026	Maintains	Buy	$7.50 → $9.00	50%
DA Davidson	Aug 24, 2026	Maintains	Buy	$7.50	58%
DA Davidson	Aug 13, 2026	Maintains	Buy	$6.00 → $7.50	58%
UBS	Aug 13, 2026	Maintains	Neutral	$5.00 → $6.75	45%
Goldman Sachs	Aug 13, 2026	Maintains	Sell	$4.75 → $5.50	52%
Keefe, Bruyette & Woods	Aug 13, 2026	Maintains	Market Perform	$5.50 → $6.25	35%
Keefe, Bruyette & Woods	Jul 13, 2026	Maintains	Market Perform	$5.25 → $5.50	35%
Truist Securities	Mar 5, 2026	Maintains	Buy	$8.00 → $7.00	50%
JP Morgan	Nov 14, 2025	Upgrade	Underweight → Neutral	$6.00	54%

The case for and against

Updated Oct 17, 2026

Bull case

Riskified is benefiting from a sharp reacceleration in growth, with 2Q revenue up 22% y/y to $98.7 million, GMV reaching $41.3 billion, and adjusted EBITDA of $3.9 million aided by operating discipline and a lower share count. Its outlook is strengthened by broad-based new-logo momentum, a net dollar expansion rate near 105%, and rapid Digital Finance growth of 180% y/y, which expands the addressable market beyond core e-commerce into prediction markets, sports betting, digital wallets, and payments. Management’s raised FY26 revenue guide to $400 million-$410 million, along with $224 million in cash and investments and no debt, supports confidence in sustained top-line growth, margin expansion over time, and continued buybacks.

Bear case

Riskified is vulnerable to revenue concentration, with its top five merchants still representing 32% of revenue in 2025, so any churn or spending slowdown at a few large customers could materially pressure growth. Its core chargeback guarantee model also creates direct liability if fraud decisioning is inaccurate, while a highly competitive fraud-prevention market and the need to keep pace with evolving technology raise execution risk. Although revenue growth is expected to outpace GMV as take rate stays around ~24bp, that benefit could be offset by macro weakness, regulatory changes, and new fraud surfaces from agentic commerce and personal AI agents.

Information on this page is provided for informational purposes only and is not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security. Investing involves risk, including possible loss of principal. Market data is delayed at least 15 minutes and is provided without warranty. Analyst ratings, price targets and company data come from third-party sources. Past performance does not guarantee future results.